203.432.6031

William N. and Marie A. Beach Professor of Management Sciences, Professor of Public Health, and Professor of Engineering

Professor Kaplan's research has been reported on the front pages of the New York Times and the Jerusalem Post, editorialized in the Wall Street Journal, recognized by the New York Times Magazine's Year in Ideas, and discussed in many other major media outlets. The author of more than 125 research articles, Professor Kaplan received both the Lanchester Prize and the Edelman Award, two top honors in the operations research field, among many other awards. An elected member of both the National Academy of Engineering and the Institute of Medicine of the US National Academies, he has also twice received the prestigious Lady Davis Visiting Professorship at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, where he has investigated AIDS policy issues facing the State of Israel. Kaplan’s current research focuses on the application of operations research to problems in counterterrorism and homeland security.

Achievements and Awards
INFORMS Expository Writing Award, 2010

Phillip McCord Morse Lectureship Award, 2009 

Charles C. Shepard Science Award, 2009

The Distinguished Lecture in Global Security Law and Policy, Case Law School, 2007

Bohm Bawerk Lecture, Austrian Academy of Sciences, 2006

Koopman Prize, 2005

Fellow, Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, 2005

Elected Member, Institute of Medicine, 2004

Elected Member, Connecticut Academy of Science and Engineering, 2004

Koopman Prize, 2003

Elected Member, National Academy of Engineering, 2003

INFORMS President's Award, 2002

Pinchas Naor Memorial Lecturer, Operations Research Society of Israel, 2001

Omega Rho Distinguished Lecturer, Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, 2000

Arnoff Lecturer, University of Cincinnati, 2000

Ira V. Hiscock Award, Connecticut Public Health Association, 1997

Lady Davis Visiting Professorship, 1997 (Department of Statistics, Hebrew University of Jerusalem)

Frederick W. Lanchester Prize, 1994

Lady Davis Visiting Professorship, 1994 (Department of Statistics, Hebrew University of Jerusalem)

Franz Edelman Award, 1992

State of Connecticut Health Department AIDS Leadership Award, 1991

Excellence in Teaching Award from the Yale SOM Alumni Association, 1991

Elm and Ivy Award for Town-Gown Relations, New Haven, 1991

Sponsored Research
Daniel Rose Technion- Yale Initiative in Homeland Security and Counterterror Operations Research

Boards
Board of Governors, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Naval Studies Board, National Research Council, National Academies

National Academy of Sciences, Committee to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security

Advisory Board, H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Carnegie Mellon University

Intelligence Community Associates Program

Selected Books
Quantitative Evaluation of HIV Prevention Programs (with R. Brookmeyer, ed.), Yale University Press, 2002

No Time to Lose: Getting More from HIV Prevention (with M. Ruiz, A. Gable, M. Stoto, H. Fineberg, and J. Trussell), National Academy Press, 2000

Modeling the AIDS Epidemic (with M. Brandeau, ed.), Raven Press, 1994

Selected Articles
"Counterterror Intelligence Operations and Terror Attacks" (with J. Feinstein), Public Choice, forthcoming

"Operations Research and Intelligence Analysis" in Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations, B. Fischhoff and C. Chauvin, eds., National Research Council, Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security, Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. The National Academies Press, 31-56, 2011

"Confronting Entrenched Insurgents" (with M. Kress and R. Szechtman), Operations Research, Vol. 58, 329-341, 2010

"Terror Queues," Operations Research, Vol. 58, 773-784, 2010 

"Queue Inference from Periodic Reporting Data" (with J. Frey),
Operations Research Letters, Vol. 38, 420-426, 2010

"Analysis of a Strategic Terror Organization"(with Jonathan Feinstein), Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 52, 281-302, 2010

"FCFS Infinite Bipartite Matching of Servers and Customers"(with Rene Caldentey and Gideon Weiss), Advances in Applied Probability, Vol.41, 695-730, 2009

"Nature Plays with Dice — Terrorists Do Not: Allocating Resources to Counter Strategic and Probabilistic Risks"(with Boaz Golany, Avi Marmur and Uri Rothblum), European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 192, 198-208, 2009 

"Estimation of HIV Incidence in the United States" (with H. Irene Hall, R. Song, P. Rhodes, J. Prejean, Q. An, L. Lee, J. Karon, R. Brookmeyer, M. McKenna, and R. Janssen), Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 300, 520-529, 2008

"Modeling a Presidential Prediction Market" (with M.K. Chen and J.E. Ingersoll, Jr.), Management Science, Vol. 54, 1381-1394, 2008

"Suicide Bombings and Targeted Killings in (Counter) Terror Games" (with D. Jacobson), Journal of Conflict Resolution,  Vol. 51, 772-792, 2007

"A Cure for the Electoral College?" (with A. Barnett), Chance, Vol. 20, 6-9, 2007

"Anti-Israel Sentiment Predicts Antisemitism in Europe" (with C. Small), Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 50, 548-561, 2006

"Tactical Prevention of Suicide Bombings in Israel"(with A. Mintz and S. Mishal), Interfaces,  Vol. 36, No. 6, 553-561, 2006

"Operational Effectiveness of Suicide-Bomber-Detector Schemes: A Best-Case Analysis" (with M. Kress), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol. 102, 10399-10404, 2005

"Preventing Second Generation infections in a Smallpox Bioterror Attack," Epidemiology, Vol. 15, 264-270, 2004

"Analyzing Bioterror Response Logistics: the Case of Smallpox" (with David L. Craft and Lawrence M. Wein), Mathematical Biosciences, Vol. 185, 33-72, 2003

"Emergency Response to an Anthrax Attack" (with D. L. Craft and L. M. Wein), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol, 100, 4346-4351, 2003

"Smallpox Eradication in West and Central Africa: Surveillance- Containment or Herd Immunity?" (with L. M. Wein), Epidemiology, Vol. 14, 90-92, 2003

"A New Approach to Estimating the Probability of Winning the Presidency" (with A. I. Barnett), Operations Research, 2003

"Emergency Response to a Smallpox Attack: The Case for Mass Vaccination" (with D. Craft and L. Wein), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2002

"March Madness and the Office Pool" (with S. Garstka), Management Science, 2001

"Treatment on Demand: An Operational Model" (with M. Johri), Health Care Management Science, 2000

"Repeat Screening for HIV: When to Test and Why" (with G. Satten), Journal of AIDS, 2000

"Snapshot Estimators of Recent HIV Incidence Rates" (with R. Brookmeyer), Operations Research, 1999

"Israel's Ban on Use of Ethiopians' Blood: How Many Infectious Donations were Prevented?," The Lancet, 1998

"Let the Needles Do the Talking!" (with E. O'Keefe), Interfaces, 1993

"To Be or Not to Be? That Is Conception" (with A. Hershlag, A.H. DeCherney, and G. Lavy), Management Science, 1992

"Needles that Kill," Reviews of Infectious Diseases, 1989

"What Are the Risks of Risky Sex?," Operations Research, 1989

Education
PhD Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1984
SM Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1982 (Statistics)
SM Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1979 (Operations Research)
MCP Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1979
BA McGill University, 1977